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A Multiple Regression Model to Predict Mortality Among Patients Affected During Covid-19 in Some Developing Countries By

Authors: Mohammad Shakil, Rakhshinda Jabeen, J. N. Singh, Aneeqa Khadim, Musaddiq Sirajo, Mohammad Ahsanullah, and B. M. G. Kibria, WSN 201 (2025) 96-113

2025-03-06
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ABSTRACT  

Multiple regression analysis is one of the widely used multivariate statistical techniques employed in medical, health, and other applied research and studies for determining the correlation between a response variable and some combination of two or more predictor variables. The objective of our investigation in this paper is to evaluate the association of some risk factors with mortality (death) among patients during Covid-19. A multiple linear regression model is developed to analyze the impact of the body mass index, death rate, life expectancy and population on mortality (death) among patients affected during Covid-19 based on a sample data of some developing countries. It is observed that in the presence of the life expectancy and population, the body mass index and the death rate were good predictors of the mortality (death).

References

[1]        Zhou F, Yu Tu, Du R, Fan G, et.al., Clinical Course and Risk Factors for Mortality of Adult Inpatients With COVID-19 in Wuhan, China: A Retrospective Cohort Study, Lancet (2020) 395(10229): 1054-62. Doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(20)30566-3.

[2]        Organization WH. Naming the Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) and the Virus That Causes it (2020). World Health Organization. Available at: https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/technical-guidance/naming-the-coronavirus-disease-(COVID-19)- and-the-virus-that-causes-it (Accessed March 17, 2021).

[3]       World Health Organization. Director- General’s Remarks at the Media Briefing on 2019-nCoV on 11 February 2020.  http://www.who.int/dg/speeches/detail/who-director-generals-remark-at-the-media-briefing-on-2019-ncov-on 11-february-2020  (Accessed on February 12, 2020).

[4]       Obesity: Preventing and Managing the Global Epidemic, Report of a WHO Consultation, World Health Organ Tech Rep Ser.2000, 894: i-xii, 1-253.

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[5]        Jia, P., Obesogenic environment and Childhood Obesity. Obes Rev (2021). http://doi.org/10.1111/obr.13158

[6]       Martin, V., Castilla, J. Godoy P., et.al., High body mass index as a Risk Factor for Hospitalization Due to Influenza: A Case-Control Study,  Arch Bronconemol, (2016), 52, 299-307.

[7]        Badawi, A., Ryoo SG., Prevalence of Diabetes in the 2009 Influenza A (H1N1) and the Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus: a systematic review and Meta-analysis, J Public Health Res, 2016, 5,733.

[8]        Petrilli, CM., Jones, SA., Yang J, et.al., Factors Associated with Hospital Admission and critical illness among 5279 People with Coronavirus Disease 2019 in New York City: prospective cohort study, BMJ,2020, 369:m1966. 10.1136/bmj.m1966.

[9]        Patel, A., Jernigan, DB., nCo VCDCRT. Initial public health response and interim clinical guidance for the 2019 novel coronavirus outbreak – United States, December 31, 2019-February 4, 2020. MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2020; 69:140-6.

[10]     Kompaniyes, L, Goodman, AB., Belay B. et.al., Body Mass Index and Risk for COVID-19-Related Hospitalization, Intensive Care Unit Admission, Invasive Mechanical Ventilation, and Death- United States, March-December 2020, (2021) MMWR Morb Mortal Wkly Rep 2021, 70, 355-361. Doi: http://dx.doi.org/10.15585/mmwr.mm7010e4

[11]      Habib, Y., Aislim, R., Aurbidi, L., et.al., Effect of obesity on clinical outcomes in COVID-19 patients, Cureus -Jan 13-2023.


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Tags: Body mass indexCOVID-19Death rateMultiple regressionObesity
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